Merge pull request 'Add calibration slide and sharpen model-comparison evidence in deck' (#2) from deck-calibration-slide into main

Reviewed-on: #2

README.md

@@ -1,3 +1,5 @@
+<a name="readme-top"></a>
+
 # Utah Vehicle Health
 
 Kevin Bell's summer 2026 development prototype for the first-attempt outcome of
@@ -28,10 +30,9 @@ Start with the [final report](docs/final_report.md). Supporting deliverables:
 - [Detailed development results](docs/development_results.md)
 - [Model card](docs/model_card.md)
 - [Static dashboard specification](docs/dashboard_spec.md)
-- [Private-to-public architecture](docs/architecture.mmd)
+- [Private-to-public architecture](docs/architecture.md)
 - [10-minute presentation outline](docs/presentation_outline.md)
 - [Dashboard demo script](docs/demo_script.md)
-- [Optional public-hosting notes](docs/bolt_deployment.md)
 
 The [data inventory](docs/data_inventory.md) and archived
 [project options](docs/project_options.md) provide source-discovery history;
@@ -63,7 +64,7 @@ python3 -m venv .venv
 
 The local `.env` contains PostgreSQL connection values and the project-specific
 `VIN_HASH_KEY`; it is excluded from Git. Never put those values in source code,
-screenshots, browser JavaScript, presentation materials, or a Bolt project.
+screenshots, browser JavaScript, or presentation materials.
 
 ## Safe database access in VS Code
 
@@ -151,6 +152,12 @@ repository root. Stop any older dashboard process with `Ctrl-C` first:
 node dashboard/server.mjs --lan
 ```
 
+On macOS, to prevent the host from sleeping while the demo runs:
+
+```bash
+caffeinate -i node dashboard/server.mjs --lan
+```
+
 The server prints a **This computer** URL and one or more interface-labeled
 **Other devices** URLs. Open the URL for the shared Wi-Fi or Ethernet interface
 on the second computer; do not use `0.0.0.0` as the browser address. Confirm the
@@ -163,13 +170,6 @@ page, so the dashboard includes a dependency-free checksum implementation for
 that case. These checks validate bundle consistency; plain HTTP does not
 authenticate the network transport, so use a trusted demo network.
 
-## Public hosting is not required
-
-The current presentation plan is the same-network live demo above. Nothing
-needs to be uploaded or published, and the server exposes only the dashboard's
-explicit static-file allowlist. The older
-[public-hosting checklist](docs/bolt_deployment.md) is retained only in case the
-delivery requirements change later.
 
 ## Author
 
@@ -178,3 +178,5 @@ Kevin Bell
 <kevinBell@Linux.com>
 
 <https://kevinbell.dev/>
+
+<p align="left"><a href="#readme-top">back to top</a></p>

dashboard/README.md

@@ -41,6 +41,10 @@ address, not the address to put in a browser. Confirm the in-app status reads
 **Validated sample aggregates**, then stop the server with `Ctrl-C` after the
 demo.
 
+If the host is on a Tailscale tailnet, the server also prints a **Tailscale
+(tunnel)** URL (a `100.x.y.z` address). Open that URL on any other device signed
+into the same tailnet to reach the dashboard remotely, without sharing a LAN.
+
 All data-contract and checksum validation remains enabled over LAN HTTP. When a
 remote browser does not expose the SubtleCrypto digest API to the plain-HTTP
 page, the dashboard uses its dependency-free SHA-256 implementation and still
@@ -92,7 +96,7 @@ records must never enter this directory.
 
 ## Public hosting is not required
 
-The current delivery path is the same-network live demo. No Bolt project,
+The delivery path is the same-network live demo. No public URL, dependency
-public URL, dependency install, or build step is needed. If public hosting is
+install, or build step is needed. If public hosting is
 ever reconsidered, publish only a separately reviewed copy of this dashboard
 directory—never the private source repository.

dashboard/js/app.js

@@ -86,8 +86,8 @@ function showRoute({ announce = true, focus = false } = {}) {
     if (heading) {
       heading.setAttribute("tabindex", "-1");
       heading.focus({ preventScroll: true });
-      heading.scrollIntoView({ behavior: "smooth", block: "start" });
     }
+    window.scrollTo({ top: 0, left: 0, behavior: "instant" });
   }
 }
 

dashboard/server.mjs

@@ -52,12 +52,13 @@ function safeFile(requestUrl) {
   }
 }
 
-// Tailscale and similar VPN tunnels show up as extra "LAN" interfaces but are not
+// A tailnet advertises the host over a 100.64.0.0/10 address, so label that URL
-// useful for an in-room demo, so keep them out of the printed URL list.
+// clearly for remote (off-LAN) demos over the tunnel.
-function isTunnelInterface(interfaceName, address) {
+function interfaceLabel(interfaceName, address) {
-  if (/^(utun|tailscale|tun|ppp|ipsec)/i.test(interfaceName)) return true;
   const [first, second] = address.split(".").map(Number);
-  return first === 100 && second >= 64 && second <= 127; // 100.64.0.0/10 (CGNAT/tailnet)
+  const isTailnet =
+    /tailscale/i.test(interfaceName) || (first === 100 && second >= 64 && second <= 127);
+  return isTailnet ? "Remote (tunnel)" : `Other devices (${interfaceName})`;
 }
 
 function displayUrls(host, port) {
@@ -72,10 +73,9 @@ function displayUrls(host, port) {
   for (const [interfaceName, addresses] of Object.entries(networkInterfaces())) {
     for (const address of addresses || []) {
       if (address.family !== "IPv4" || address.internal || seen.has(address.address)) continue;
-      if (isTunnelInterface(interfaceName, address.address)) continue;
       seen.add(address.address);
       entries.push({
-        label: `Other devices (${interfaceName})`,
+        label: interfaceLabel(interfaceName, address.address),
         url: `http://${address.address}:${port}`,
       });
     }

docs/architecture.md

@@ -1,3 +1,6 @@
+## System Architecture
+
+```mermaid
 flowchart TD
     SOURCE[(Private inspection histories<br/>read-only source)]
     SAMPLE[Private page-sampled histories<br/>up to 10,000 vehicles<br/>keyed vehicle tokens]
@@ -82,3 +85,4 @@ flowchart TD
     class LOGISTIC,TREE model
     class PUBLIC,CONTRACT,SITE,VIEWS,DEMO public
     class GUARDRAILS warning
+```

docs/bolt_deployment.md

@@ -1,192 +0,0 @@
-# Dashboard-only Bolt deployment
-
-Last reviewed: 2026-07-21
-
-> **Not part of the current delivery plan.** The presentation now uses the
-> same-network live-demo procedure in [demo_script.md](demo_script.md). This
-> checklist is retained only as a boundary reference if public hosting is
-> reconsidered later.
-
-## Non-negotiable publication boundary
-
-Publish a **separate Bolt project or GitHub repository containing only the
-contents of `dashboard/`**. In that project, `index.html` must be at the project
-root.
-
-Do not import the full Utah Vehicle Health source repository into Bolt. Do not
-depend on Bolt supporting a `dashboard` working-root setting. The source
-repository contains private-pipeline structure that a static host does not need,
-even when local secrets and data are Git-ignored.
-
-The deployment project must never contain `.env` files, credentials, private
-data or marts, database files, model artifacts, SQL, pipeline scripts, repository
-history from outside `dashboard/`, raw JSON, operational records, or row-level
-predictions.
-
-## 1. Verify the source dashboard locally
-
-From the Utah Vehicle Health repository root:
-
-```bash
-npm --prefix dashboard test
-node dashboard/server.mjs
-```
-
-Open `http://127.0.0.1:4173` and verify:
-
-- the development-preview banner says the values come from the private
-  10,000-vehicle sample and are not population estimates;
-- the routes are Overview, Sample cohorts, Model & benchmark, and Data & methods;
-- the final model is calibrated logistic regression and the boosted tree is
-  benchmark-only;
-- model cards show 2024 calibration-fit diagnostics, not the opened 2025
-  holdout comparison;
-- no vehicle-level prediction service or input form exists;
-- county displays communicate feed coverage rather than population rankings;
-  and
-- a missing or invalid aggregate bundle produces an unavailable state, not
-  fallback estimates.
-
-Stop the local server with `Ctrl-C` after verification.
-
-## 2. Create a fresh dashboard-only artifact
-
-Use a new directory and, preferably, a new deployment repository. Copy the
-**contents** of `dashboard/`, not the directory's parent and not the main
-repository's `.git` history.
-
-The reviewed project tree is:
-
-```text
-index.html
-styles.css
-package.json
-server.mjs
-README.md
-js/
-  app.js
-  charts.js
-  data.js
-public/data/
-  age_risk_curve.json
-  cohort_scorecard.json
-  coverage_quality.json
-  data_manifest.json
-  filter_catalog.json
-  model_diagnostics.json
-  overview_period_county.json
-  sha256_manifest.json
-tests/
-  contract.test.mjs
-```
-
-Do not add any other repository directory. In the fresh artifact root, run:
-
-```bash
-npm test
-HOST=0.0.0.0 npm start
-```
-
-No dependency install or build step is required. The `PORT` environment
-variable is honored automatically by `server.mjs` when a host supplies it.
-
-Before creating the deployment repository, inspect its entire file tree. Apart
-from `package.json` project metadata, the only JSON allowed is the reviewed
-aggregate bundle under `public/data/`. Confirm that `data_manifest.json` still
-declares:
-
-```text
-development_preview: true
-population_estimate_allowed: false
-locked_test_metrics_published: false
-```
-
-Do not hand-edit an aggregate file to make validation pass. Regenerate it
-through the private local exporter and repeat the review.
-
-## 3. Import only the dashboard repository into Bolt
-
-The recommended handoff is a fresh GitHub repository containing the reviewed
-tree above. It may be private if the connected Bolt account has access.
-
-1. On the Bolt homepage, choose the GitHub import control.
-2. Select the separate dashboard-only repository or use **Import from URL**.
-3. Confirm `index.html` appears at the imported project root.
-4. Inspect the Bolt file tree before previewing. If SQL, scripts, artifacts,
-   private data, `.env`, or source-repository files appear, stop and delete that
-   Bolt project; create a clean dashboard-only project instead.
-5. Use `HOST=0.0.0.0 npm start` if Bolt requests a preview command. There is no
-   build command.
-
-Bolt's current GitHub import workflow is documented in
-[GitHub for version control](https://support.bolt.new/integrations/git).
-
-If a separate GitHub repository is not used, create a fresh Bolt/StackBlitz
-project and upload only the reviewed dashboard files so the same tree appears at
-the project root. Never upload the full source repository and then try to hide
-or ignore its private-pipeline directories.
-
-## 4. Review in Bolt before publishing
-
-Use the preview URL and repeat the local visual checks. Also verify directly:
-
-- `/public/data/data_manifest.json` resolves;
-- an unknown file path returns `404`;
-- `/.env`, `/data/`, `/artifacts/`, `/models/`, `/sql/`, and `/scripts/` return
-  `404`;
-- the browser makes requests only for the static HTML, CSS, JavaScript, and
-  approved files under `/public/data/`; and
-- no analytics, database, authentication, or third-party data service was added
-  by an automated Bolt edit.
-
-Preview privately first. If Bolt proposes code changes, review the full diff and
-rerun `npm test`; do not accept changes that add a database, environment secret,
-tracking script, model API, prediction form, or remote data source.
-
-## 5. Publish with Bolt Hosting
-
-Bolt Hosting is the intended host for this prototype:
-
-1. Open the dashboard-only project.
-2. Select **Publish** in the upper-right corner.
-3. Choose private visibility for presentation review when available.
-4. Select **Publish** and wait for the generated `bolt.host` URL.
-5. Run the post-publication checks below before changing visibility to public.
-
-Bolt documents this flow in
-[Publish your project to a live website](https://support.bolt.new/cloud/hosting/publish).
-Bolt's Netlify integration is optional and is not required for this dashboard;
-see [Netlify integration](https://support.bolt.new/integrations/netlify) only if
-hosting requirements explicitly change.
-
-## 6. Post-publication checks
-
-At the exact published URL:
-
-1. Hard-refresh and confirm the development-preview banner remains visible.
-2. Visit all four routes and verify labels, charts, and keyboard navigation.
-3. Confirm the Model & benchmark view identifies logistic as final, tree as
-   benchmark, and its values as 2024 calibration-fit checks.
-4. Confirm no 2025 holdout metric appears in the site or public JSON.
-5. Confirm there is no vehicle-level lookup, input form, or row-level output.
-6. Confirm coverage language does not imply statewide representation or county
-   ranking.
-7. Request the denied paths from step 4 again and require `404`.
-8. Save the published URL, release ID, publication date, and reviewer decision;
-   do not save private paths, row values, or credentials in the release note.
-
-If any check fails, use Bolt's Publish menu to unpublish or keep the site private
-until a corrected dashboard-only artifact passes local and hosted review.
-
-## Updating a published prototype
-
-Changes in a Bolt project are not automatically live. For each update:
-
-1. regenerate/review aggregates locally;
-2. run the dashboard contract test;
-3. update the separate dashboard-only repository/project;
-4. inspect Bolt's diff and preview;
-5. use **Publish > Update**; and
-6. repeat every post-publication check.
-
-Never synchronize private pipeline directories into the deployment repository.

docs/data_inventory.md

@@ -112,7 +112,7 @@ possible, but must never appear in public outputs.
 - Extreme repeat counts exist and require invalid/shared-identifier filtering.
 
 Use a salted one-way internal token if a stable identifier is needed during
-feature engineering. Never send VINs or plates to the browser or Bolt.
+feature engineering. Never send VINs or plates to the browser.
 
 ## Operational and sensitive relations
 

docs/final_report.md

@@ -222,4 +222,3 @@ ranking, production model, diagnosis, or individual decision tool.
 - [Private-to-public architecture](architecture.mmd)
 - [10-minute presentation outline](presentation_outline.md)
 - [Dashboard demo script](demo_script.md)
-- [Optional public-hosting notes](bolt_deployment.md)

docs/project_options.md

@@ -162,7 +162,7 @@ Use option 1 as the main story and option 6 as its data-engineering foundation:
 3. Compare a transparent logistic baseline with a tree model.
 4. Validate on a later time period and separately by county/source.
 5. Export only aggregate scorecards, curves, and de-identified model outputs.
-6. Build the public Bolt dashboard over those safe outputs.
+6. Build the static dashboard over those safe outputs.
 
 This gives the project a coherent end-to-end narrative across data engineering,
 analytics, machine learning, responsible validation, and product design.